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IMPEACHMENT E RENUNCIA: IMPEACHMENT AND DISCLAIMS - REPUBLISHED TODAY THIS...
IMPEACHMENT E RENUNCIA: IMPEACHMENT AND DISCLAIMS - REPUBLISHED TODAY THIS...: Impeachment AND DISCLAIMS Monday, March 2, 2015 Impeachment AND WAIVE ONE OF TWO IS INEVITABLE A BATTLE AGAINST Notica AND NEWS ON POLI...
IMPEACHMENT AND DISCLAIMS - REPUBLISHED TODAY THIS ARTICLE OF MARCG, 2015, JUST TO SHOW HOW BAD IS THEA SITUATION
Impeachment AND DISCLAIMS
Monday, March 2, 2015
Impeachment AND WAIVE ONE OF TWO IS INEVITABLE
A BATTLE AGAINST Notica AND NEWS ON POLITICAL STABILITY ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE DEMOCRATIC NORMAL, WITH RESPECT TO SOLUTIONS APPLICATION REQUIRED THE RESTORATION OF THE PEOPLE'S CONFIDENCE IN RELATION TO ITS RULERS AND GROWTH RESUMPTION
This analysis comes as a result of government news implant seeking to destabilize the environment impeachment / resignation necessary that the government itself created and became inevitable.
THE five reasons given and published on msn by Mr. Peter Hakim, are not entitled to the history of Brazil, and how in certain circumstances, the right to resume normal becomes inevitable solution of impeachment / resignation.
The first question concerns the congressional support / opposition-situation? in relation to being permeable or reflex to the new policy framework environment, arising from the need to providence impeachment / resignation.
Before moving on the topic, we have to anticipate being natural and blindingly obvious be in this moment of crisis, in addition to generating news that do not concern the framework of reality for both parties involved, making believe the greater the effect of this or that event both for change as in maintaining the framework, and this bet, dismisses as irrelevant adiposity, keeping the need in the concentration of factors that influence and will flow into the maintenance of the regime or change necessarily occur.
The fact that Brazilian politicians are permeable or reflections politics of course changes from the very inertia feature in approving legislation: who is "in accordance remains as is," and everything remained as it is resulting which resulted, planted wind , seeking to pick flowers, which do not come to fruition.
The permeability factor is the lack of necessary virtues of training of politicians who run continuously behind the podium and spotlight when they appear to result in votes and popular support.
Hence, Mr. Peter analysis does not fit the historical moments the country through popular movements, even the messy, when faced with an unswerving reality, of: ENOUGH, ENOUGH, can not stand MORE !!!, What has not doubt time that politicians realize that this is the will of the people will become permeable and even defenders change settings impeachment / needed change.
In the same context, international scenarios quickly adjust to the new, from the environment legislated created it and has the first commitments to maintain order, and, what is more important, the credibility arising from new forms of surveillance withdraw the practice procurement figure of unwanted agents and unfair prices.
Faced with this fact, what is missing is very little, but not this government that will have the credibility to implement preventive regime to replace the scandals that descredibilizaram the Government inexorably removing the oxygen necessary to maintain public life.
Mr. Peter, even within the democratic system has the right to defend his point of view, done a huge disservice institutions to generate more performative and scientific analysis devoid of information, ignore or put aside what happened in regime change ranging from the proclamation of the republic, the government's first step Getulio, change 64 system, return to democracy, and the more guard relevance to this analysis, the very fall of Collor, who, long before the social movements take account of the national feeling of the streets that formed the archetype scanned and engineered the change was the unremovable regime change as it did now.
It is no longer repeat previous and unsuccessful movements, it is the popular intolerability compared to excesses and desgovernos in framework that trust does not takes more, the couple government / population had its break broken trust by the fact that not only the government was being caught cheating as mocking the betrayed spouse for his performance in bed, which becomes unacceptable.
Mr. Peter movement will thrive despite their thought otherwise, and a little more research and science refer to a more detailed analysis of the lack of awareness and sense of respect the people involved, the American of which Mr. Peter is originates, which does not allow and does not accept this type of conduct and Brazil, which was analyzed as being unable to organize and take the reins of unbridled horse that made this government, Mr. see and can apologize to the United States and Latin America by the lack of discretion.
Nothing will stop the people unless the government has the decency to resign, to ensure the popular memory statesman reference saved who, as a public figure has the humility to be of service and help to arrogate that did this or that in the benefit of the population because the public policies that have never been performed with own resources only with money and order the population and is this profile that the population requires to future representatives of the Nation
Annex: Five pitiable points on msn today:
The number of problems faced by President Dilma Rousseff at the start of his second term has been nominated by some as a threat signal to your government.
Last week, a blog published in the British newspaper's website Financial Times listed 10 reasons to believe that Dilma could be impeached, including the corruption investigations in Petrobras, the down economy, the crisis in the supply of water and energy and the lowest support in Congress.
However, for political scientists consulted by BBC Brazil, this is not realistic and, despite the problems, there is currently no reason to consider that Dilma not finish his term.
Below six reasons why Brazilianists consider unlikely impeachment proceedings in Brazil:
1 - So far, there is no basis for impeachment
For analysts interviewed by BBC Brazil, despite the serious problems faced by the government, it is not clear what would be the basis for impeachment proceedings.
"There are tensions within the government, tensions between Lula (former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva) and Dilma, between the PT and (the new Minister of Finance) Joaquim Levy. Polarization in Brazil is getting very strong, between PT and the opposition, between Congress and the president, "enumerates Peter Hakim, president emeritus of political analysis institute Inter-American Dialogue in Washington.
"But the question I have is how the impeachment process would be initiated, what would be the basis for impeachment," he asks.
According to Hakim, yet there seems to be nothing that can trigger an impeachment process. He points out that charges of "incompetence", by itself, is no reason for impeachment.
Political scientist Riordan Roett, director of the study program in Latin America Johns Hopkins University in Washington, says that in the United States impeachment threat is usually also mentioned frequently.
"The impeachment is never out of the question. The conservatives of the Tea Party are always talking about impeachment in Congress, but obviously this will not happen," compares.
"(In Brazil) I think it's too early to even think about the possibility of a serious impeachment process."
2 - There Dilma involvement of evidence in Petrobras scandal
The corruption scandal at Petrobras, which has caused the lowering of the company's score for Moody's credit rating agency, is considered by Hakim the main problem faced by Dilma right now.
But he and other analysts point out that nothing indicates that the President - who headed the Board of directors between 2003 and 2010 - have had some kind of involvement or knew of cases of corruption.
"To date, there is no evidence that Dilma is guilty of nothing but bad administration (in the case of Petrobras)," says political scientist Matthew Taylor, a researcher at the Brazil Institute of the Woodrow Wilson Center organ and professor at American University, in Washington.
Taylor notes that, as in Mensalão scandal many of the most skeptical members of the opposition said at the time that the then president Lula should know what happened in the case of Petrobras is possible that many say the same of Dilma, their ties with company were so narrow that she should know the corruption scheme.
"But in a large organization like this, it is quite plausible that it simply has not investigated more deeply what could be happening," he says.
"So far there is no suggestion in the documents that we know that Dilma is guilty of any criminal behavior," says Taylor.
3 - The opposition is not interested in a process of impeachment
According to analysts polled by BBC Brazil, the opposition would not be able nor interested in carrying forward an impeachment process.
"I do not think the PSDB would have much to gain. Also, need the support of the PMDB and other parties in the government coalition. And, frankly, none of these parties would like to see Dilma suffering impeachment," says Taylor.
"They have a lot to gain from a weakened Dilma," he says. "It might be better for the opposition simply leave Dilma steeped in crisis and let her take the tough austerity measures and be responsible for them."
4 - Support in Congress
Dilma faces difficulties in its relationship with Congress and with the allied base itself, at a time when the PT and the PMDB, despite the higher benches, lost seats in the last elections, which were also marked by further fragmentation of Congress .
"One of the crucial issues for Dilma is to fight against the opposition that is in Congress the fiscal adjustment plan. But it is in a weakened position because it is not popular, the PT has fewer members in Congress, there are smaller parties' lists Roett.
Despite the difficulties, analysts point out that Rousseff's support structure is much stronger than that of former President Fernando Collor de Mello impeachment target in 1992.
"Collor was implementing policies that were somehow radicals, which went against the majority of voters, and doing this in a context in which his party had less than 3% of the Congress," says Taylor
5 - Difficulties in Latin America
The evaluation of analysts is that, although serious, the current problems are not unique to Brazil. Many Latin American countries also face a period of scandals and falling economy.
"It's not as if Brazil were alone," says Hakim.
He cites the cases of Mexico, Venezuela, Peru, Chile and Argentina, where presidents also go through a time of low popularity.
"If in Brazil inflation reaches 7.3% in the last 12 months in Argentina is around 40%, and in Venezuela close to 70%," says Hakim.
"Investor confidence is low throughout Latin America."
Exaggeration
For Hakim, a certain exaggeration when talking about the possibility of impeachment of Rousseff.
"No one spoke in impeachment of Fernando Henrique Cardoso because of the blackout crisis. Nobody talked about impeachment of Lula because of Mensalão" he recalls.
The analyst acknowledges that Dilma is facing problems on several fronts, but claims that these problems are not uncommon in government with the economy down.
"Remember when everyone was talking that Brazil was a rocket toward the moon, no one held Brazil? That was dramatically exaggerated. Now the supposed disaster facing Brazil is also being overdone. It may be about to face some turbulence, but does not compare to the situation in Argentina or Venezuela, "said Hakim.
Taylor says the Petrobras scandal leaves "cautiously optimistic."
"When you think of Brazil and the experiences in Latin America, how many other countries you would hold some of the most important business and consider the possibility of holding some of the most important politicians? And even if I did not finding a realistic scenario, the very contemplation impeachment of a valid way institutionally. This all points to the strength of Brazilian democracy, not weakness. "
Brazil, February 28, 2015
HÉLIO BARRETO DOS SANTOS SON
OAB SC 7487 DF 36606 OAPT 53040C
Posted by Helio Barreto at 06:52 No comentari
Monday, March 2, 2015
Impeachment AND WAIVE ONE OF TWO IS INEVITABLE
A BATTLE AGAINST Notica AND NEWS ON POLITICAL STABILITY ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE DEMOCRATIC NORMAL, WITH RESPECT TO SOLUTIONS APPLICATION REQUIRED THE RESTORATION OF THE PEOPLE'S CONFIDENCE IN RELATION TO ITS RULERS AND GROWTH RESUMPTION
This analysis comes as a result of government news implant seeking to destabilize the environment impeachment / resignation necessary that the government itself created and became inevitable.
THE five reasons given and published on msn by Mr. Peter Hakim, are not entitled to the history of Brazil, and how in certain circumstances, the right to resume normal becomes inevitable solution of impeachment / resignation.
The first question concerns the congressional support / opposition-situation? in relation to being permeable or reflex to the new policy framework environment, arising from the need to providence impeachment / resignation.
Before moving on the topic, we have to anticipate being natural and blindingly obvious be in this moment of crisis, in addition to generating news that do not concern the framework of reality for both parties involved, making believe the greater the effect of this or that event both for change as in maintaining the framework, and this bet, dismisses as irrelevant adiposity, keeping the need in the concentration of factors that influence and will flow into the maintenance of the regime or change necessarily occur.
The fact that Brazilian politicians are permeable or reflections politics of course changes from the very inertia feature in approving legislation: who is "in accordance remains as is," and everything remained as it is resulting which resulted, planted wind , seeking to pick flowers, which do not come to fruition.
The permeability factor is the lack of necessary virtues of training of politicians who run continuously behind the podium and spotlight when they appear to result in votes and popular support.
Hence, Mr. Peter analysis does not fit the historical moments the country through popular movements, even the messy, when faced with an unswerving reality, of: ENOUGH, ENOUGH, can not stand MORE !!!, What has not doubt time that politicians realize that this is the will of the people will become permeable and even defenders change settings impeachment / needed change.
In the same context, international scenarios quickly adjust to the new, from the environment legislated created it and has the first commitments to maintain order, and, what is more important, the credibility arising from new forms of surveillance withdraw the practice procurement figure of unwanted agents and unfair prices.
Faced with this fact, what is missing is very little, but not this government that will have the credibility to implement preventive regime to replace the scandals that descredibilizaram the Government inexorably removing the oxygen necessary to maintain public life.
Mr. Peter, even within the democratic system has the right to defend his point of view, done a huge disservice institutions to generate more performative and scientific analysis devoid of information, ignore or put aside what happened in regime change ranging from the proclamation of the republic, the government's first step Getulio, change 64 system, return to democracy, and the more guard relevance to this analysis, the very fall of Collor, who, long before the social movements take account of the national feeling of the streets that formed the archetype scanned and engineered the change was the unremovable regime change as it did now.
It is no longer repeat previous and unsuccessful movements, it is the popular intolerability compared to excesses and desgovernos in framework that trust does not takes more, the couple government / population had its break broken trust by the fact that not only the government was being caught cheating as mocking the betrayed spouse for his performance in bed, which becomes unacceptable.
Mr. Peter movement will thrive despite their thought otherwise, and a little more research and science refer to a more detailed analysis of the lack of awareness and sense of respect the people involved, the American of which Mr. Peter is originates, which does not allow and does not accept this type of conduct and Brazil, which was analyzed as being unable to organize and take the reins of unbridled horse that made this government, Mr. see and can apologize to the United States and Latin America by the lack of discretion.
Nothing will stop the people unless the government has the decency to resign, to ensure the popular memory statesman reference saved who, as a public figure has the humility to be of service and help to arrogate that did this or that in the benefit of the population because the public policies that have never been performed with own resources only with money and order the population and is this profile that the population requires to future representatives of the Nation
Annex: Five pitiable points on msn today:
The number of problems faced by President Dilma Rousseff at the start of his second term has been nominated by some as a threat signal to your government.
Last week, a blog published in the British newspaper's website Financial Times listed 10 reasons to believe that Dilma could be impeached, including the corruption investigations in Petrobras, the down economy, the crisis in the supply of water and energy and the lowest support in Congress.
However, for political scientists consulted by BBC Brazil, this is not realistic and, despite the problems, there is currently no reason to consider that Dilma not finish his term.
Below six reasons why Brazilianists consider unlikely impeachment proceedings in Brazil:
1 - So far, there is no basis for impeachment
For analysts interviewed by BBC Brazil, despite the serious problems faced by the government, it is not clear what would be the basis for impeachment proceedings.
"There are tensions within the government, tensions between Lula (former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva) and Dilma, between the PT and (the new Minister of Finance) Joaquim Levy. Polarization in Brazil is getting very strong, between PT and the opposition, between Congress and the president, "enumerates Peter Hakim, president emeritus of political analysis institute Inter-American Dialogue in Washington.
"But the question I have is how the impeachment process would be initiated, what would be the basis for impeachment," he asks.
According to Hakim, yet there seems to be nothing that can trigger an impeachment process. He points out that charges of "incompetence", by itself, is no reason for impeachment.
Political scientist Riordan Roett, director of the study program in Latin America Johns Hopkins University in Washington, says that in the United States impeachment threat is usually also mentioned frequently.
"The impeachment is never out of the question. The conservatives of the Tea Party are always talking about impeachment in Congress, but obviously this will not happen," compares.
"(In Brazil) I think it's too early to even think about the possibility of a serious impeachment process."
2 - There Dilma involvement of evidence in Petrobras scandal
The corruption scandal at Petrobras, which has caused the lowering of the company's score for Moody's credit rating agency, is considered by Hakim the main problem faced by Dilma right now.
But he and other analysts point out that nothing indicates that the President - who headed the Board of directors between 2003 and 2010 - have had some kind of involvement or knew of cases of corruption.
"To date, there is no evidence that Dilma is guilty of nothing but bad administration (in the case of Petrobras)," says political scientist Matthew Taylor, a researcher at the Brazil Institute of the Woodrow Wilson Center organ and professor at American University, in Washington.
Taylor notes that, as in Mensalão scandal many of the most skeptical members of the opposition said at the time that the then president Lula should know what happened in the case of Petrobras is possible that many say the same of Dilma, their ties with company were so narrow that she should know the corruption scheme.
"But in a large organization like this, it is quite plausible that it simply has not investigated more deeply what could be happening," he says.
"So far there is no suggestion in the documents that we know that Dilma is guilty of any criminal behavior," says Taylor.
3 - The opposition is not interested in a process of impeachment
According to analysts polled by BBC Brazil, the opposition would not be able nor interested in carrying forward an impeachment process.
"I do not think the PSDB would have much to gain. Also, need the support of the PMDB and other parties in the government coalition. And, frankly, none of these parties would like to see Dilma suffering impeachment," says Taylor.
"They have a lot to gain from a weakened Dilma," he says. "It might be better for the opposition simply leave Dilma steeped in crisis and let her take the tough austerity measures and be responsible for them."
4 - Support in Congress
Dilma faces difficulties in its relationship with Congress and with the allied base itself, at a time when the PT and the PMDB, despite the higher benches, lost seats in the last elections, which were also marked by further fragmentation of Congress .
"One of the crucial issues for Dilma is to fight against the opposition that is in Congress the fiscal adjustment plan. But it is in a weakened position because it is not popular, the PT has fewer members in Congress, there are smaller parties' lists Roett.
Despite the difficulties, analysts point out that Rousseff's support structure is much stronger than that of former President Fernando Collor de Mello impeachment target in 1992.
"Collor was implementing policies that were somehow radicals, which went against the majority of voters, and doing this in a context in which his party had less than 3% of the Congress," says Taylor
5 - Difficulties in Latin America
The evaluation of analysts is that, although serious, the current problems are not unique to Brazil. Many Latin American countries also face a period of scandals and falling economy.
"It's not as if Brazil were alone," says Hakim.
He cites the cases of Mexico, Venezuela, Peru, Chile and Argentina, where presidents also go through a time of low popularity.
"If in Brazil inflation reaches 7.3% in the last 12 months in Argentina is around 40%, and in Venezuela close to 70%," says Hakim.
"Investor confidence is low throughout Latin America."
Exaggeration
For Hakim, a certain exaggeration when talking about the possibility of impeachment of Rousseff.
"No one spoke in impeachment of Fernando Henrique Cardoso because of the blackout crisis. Nobody talked about impeachment of Lula because of Mensalão" he recalls.
The analyst acknowledges that Dilma is facing problems on several fronts, but claims that these problems are not uncommon in government with the economy down.
"Remember when everyone was talking that Brazil was a rocket toward the moon, no one held Brazil? That was dramatically exaggerated. Now the supposed disaster facing Brazil is also being overdone. It may be about to face some turbulence, but does not compare to the situation in Argentina or Venezuela, "said Hakim.
Taylor says the Petrobras scandal leaves "cautiously optimistic."
"When you think of Brazil and the experiences in Latin America, how many other countries you would hold some of the most important business and consider the possibility of holding some of the most important politicians? And even if I did not finding a realistic scenario, the very contemplation impeachment of a valid way institutionally. This all points to the strength of Brazilian democracy, not weakness. "
Brazil, February 28, 2015
HÉLIO BARRETO DOS SANTOS SON
OAB SC 7487 DF 36606 OAPT 53040C
Posted by Helio Barreto at 06:52 No comentari
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